Sunday, December 11, 2011

Severe Potential This Week

A very active period of weather, including severe potential looks to be growing for Indiana and some of the surrounding areas this coming week:

Euro model is trending weaker with the storm in Wisconsin around the Wed-Thurs time frame, however it is also trending slower which will allow for more robust moisture return into this deepening low. Windy conditions even outside of any storms will prevail with the pressure gradient dervived winds.

Euro is showing signs of trouble even NEXT week. Look how the cold air is dipping southward towards the Texas panhandle. Notice the buckling of the isobars as the "warm" colors are beginning to show signs of pulling northward into and what would be eventually downstream from this colder air. Could be the signs of yet again a deepening surface low taking a similiar track to the one coming by midweek this week!

60+ Knot winds at 850 MB or around 5,000-8,000 ft high on Wed-Thurs time frame with the bullseye basically in most of Indiana. Interesting and impressive. While....


Near 100 kts at 15,000-18,000 ft or 500 mb. VERY Impressive and Negatively Tilted!

GFS is also showing a narrow, but unstable Theta-E Axis coming into Indiana as well.

Don't know about you, but things are interesting this week if we can make it past mid to upper Teens lows for the next couple of mornings around here! HA!

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Veteran Storm Chaser And New Media Dude. Married With 3 kids.

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